The downward trajectory of PM Tony Abbott was sharpened by
the announcement on Australia Day that Prince Philip would be given a
(recently-resurrected) Australian knighthood.
This had a spillover effect on the Queensland State
election a week later, and was undoubtedly the deciding factor in putting the
opposition over the line.
Abbott survived a party-room vote for a leadership spill,
but has been left with the certainty of a harrowing descent from top dog to oblivion
before the next election. He had been consistently on the nose with the
electorate ever since he was elected, demonstrating his opposition skills did not
transfer to actual leadership. He has
clearly not grown with the job, as
recent media attested.
The biggest puzzle here is: why did Abbott give Prince Phillip a knighthood? The following is the only rational
explanation I can find.
First, a brief history.
Australia’s
own honours awards were established in 1975; prior awards to Australians were
under the British system. However, it
wasn’t until the conservative Liberals were elected in 1976 that knighthoods
were awarded. These lasted only until
1983, when Labor abolished knighthoods again.
The next conservative PM (Howard) didn’t re-establish them, but Abbott,
a long-time monarchist, did in 2014, after a gap of 30 years.
This was “advised” to the Queen, signed and gazetted from
April 2014. Honours are awarded in June
(the “Queen’s Birthday” public holiday on the second Monday in June) and
January (Australia Day, the 26th).
Clearly, to give Prince Phillip a knighthood, it would have
to be squared with the Palace in advance, say four months. My thinking is that Abbott effectively gave
him a knighthood at the first available opportunity. But the question is, why?
I suspect that as a monarchist, Abbott had such a plan from
way back. He may have felt that the republican
sentiment of recent times was a little close to the bone, and the best way to
draw back from that was to bring the monarchy closer to Australia. A royal tour, yes, and we’ve had two since
Abbott was elected. But if a Royal with
sufficient gravitas was knighted, surely that would bring the two countries
closer together? Of course, this
excludes the younger ones who inhabit the pages of the gossip magazines. So who’s available?
Surprisingly enough, Charles was given an Australian
knighthood, in 1981 – possibly in anticipation of his wedding. So there’s a precedent. Can’t do the monarch, so who’s left?
Now Phillip’s not that bad.
Harmless, shows he has a sense of humour. And if he’s a bit of a duffer, surely the
larrikin in the typical Australian will warm to this as we draw him closer to
us.
So the plan was put in train as soon as possible after
Abbott became PM in September 2013.
However, that didn’t allow for Abbott’s poor reception with
the voting public – which only compounded when his actual policies floundered (and foundered) at the hands of a
less-than-sympathetic Senate.
Sometimes, when faced with unpopularity, Abbott spoke glibly of his prerogative to make “Captain’s calls”. Come January 2015, he didn’t want to lose face with the “Palace” by withdrawing the Sir Prince proposal, so he figured he’d just have to grit his teeth and take a tiny bit more flak for one more Call.
He must have known it was a stupid call, because he admitted
to “consulting” only one other person beforehand: the Chair of the Order of
Australia Council – Angus Houston – who, as it happened, was the only other
Australian whose knighthood was announced for the same day.
In the cloistered world of his own opinion, Abbott may have
thought Australians would put up with this Captain’s Call with few grumblings,
especially since the electorate had apparently voted in favour of monarchy in
1999. But the depth of the subsequent backlash
must have surprised many. Even within
his own party, a significant groundswell of opposition was publicly voiced.
Australia
has a strong tradition of not
electing governments for a single term only.
However, the Victorian election in November gave the lie to this, and
the Liberals were booted out. Surely
this couldn’t happen in Queensland,
where the Liberals comprised 78 out of the 89-seat parliament, and Labor had
been reduced to a rump of seven? Although
one might expect a backswing at the next election, but not normally such a
reversal that the Liberals were defeated.
So my story is one of a Prime Minister who came from a
presumption of prerogative, then later felt he couldn’t lose face with the
Palace and back down from a risky move, even at a dangerous time. It speaks to a particularly autocratic
leadership style, one that is not
inclined to the consultative. This is
reflected in both his Captain’s Calls, and his strong affinity to a chief of
staff (Peta Credlin) who is by all accounts particularly capable, but just as authoritarian
– even to Cabinet Ministers.
There is no Get Out Of Jail for Abbott by now. His several electorates have stopped
listening, and the slips he is still making are not being indulged.